LA Angels vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Chicago Cubs (40-48) vs LA Angels (36-50)

Game Info: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -185 / LA Angels +156 — Over/Under: 10.5

In this article we will formulate a LA Angels vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 5th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

The Angels recent form and recent player performance
The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
Recent betting trends in games played between Los Angeles and Chicago
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Los Angeles and Chicago

Angels Trying to Snap Losing Streak

The Los Angeles Angels are 36-50 this year and they have lost four games in a row. Los Angeles is coming off of a series loss against Oakland, where they lost all three games. Prior to that series, the Angels won three out of four against the Tigers, swept the Athletics, and split two games with the Dodgers. Los Angeles is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the AL West standings.

The LA pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 351 runs with a .237 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Zach Neto is batting .247 with 11 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Angels this season. Los Angeles has been shutout in two straight games, but they have scored at least five runs in eight of their last ten games.

Cubs Looking for Rare Winning Streak

The Chicago Cubs are 40-48 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Brewers, lost three out of four against the Giants, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Chicago is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL Central.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 364 runs with a .229 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Christopher Morel is batting .197 with 15 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has allowed at least four runs in eight of their last eleven games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Griffin Canning, who is 3-8 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this year. Canning has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Justin Steele, who is 0-3 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 70.1 innings pitched this season. Steele has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

Why the Cubs will beat the Angels

The Cubs have won each of their last seven home games against American League opponents.
The Angels have lost each of their last four road games.
The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
The Angels have failed to cover the run line each of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Cubs’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Angels’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last five home games against AL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against AL West opponents.
Justin Steele has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL West opponents.
Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last nine day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

Zach Neto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
Mike Trout has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Brandon Drury has recorded an RBI in three of his last four road appearances against the Cubs.
Zach Neto has recorded at least one total base in each of the Angels’ last nine games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
Luis Rengifo has hit at least one home run in each of his two previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
Luis Rengifo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.