| MATCHUP | Kansas City Royals | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 37-54 | 38-53 |
| Spread | +1.5 -168 | -1.5 139 |
| Moneyline | +129 | -156 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-109) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Tuesday, July 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Kansas City Royals and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Pick.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 37-54 on the year and play the Orioles next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .245 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals’ pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 97 hits and 36 RBI, while Carter Jensen and Jac Caglianone have combined for 147 hits and 80 RBI.
Seth Lugo gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 3-6 with a 4.20 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. This will be Lugo’s first career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 38-53 on the year and play the Red Sox next. The New York Mets are batting .232 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and have a .379 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 95 hits and 50 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 163 hits and 81 RBI.
The New York Mets didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last six games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Royals have lost each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Mets have lost 11 of their last 14 games as favorites following a road win.
- The Royals have won four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a road win.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Royals’ last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Mets’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Royals’ last seven games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.414) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two road games against NL opponents.
- Carter Jensen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Royals as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (833).
- The Royals rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
- The Royals rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (699).
Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets didn’t announce a starter, but it doesn’t matter to me. I’m not in the business of backing the Mets, the biggest underachievers in baseball. Now, we’ve made a living fading the Royals all season, but somebody has to win, folks. Also, Lugo should be up for this game after spending most of his career with the Mets. They allowed him to walk after seven strong seasons. Lugo has been hit or miss this season overall, but he’s probably had this game circled on the calendar. I’ll take the Royals.