New York (55-41) vs Kansas City (46-50)
July 13, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City +115 — Over/Under: +9
The New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals meet Sunday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Clay Holmes for the start here and Holmes is 8-4 with a 3.29 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. This will be Holmes’ first career start against the Royals. Noah Cameron will get the start for the Royals here and is 3-4 with a 2.56 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Cameron’s first career start against the Royals.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 3-1 win over the Royals last time out to improve to 55-41 on the year. After the all-star break, the Mets will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Mets Win Back-To-Back Games
Pete Alonso has 100 hits with 25 doubles, 21 home runs, 77 RBIs and a .281 batting average while Juan Soto has 88 hits with 15 doubles, 22 home runs and 54 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 98 hits with 14 stolen bases along with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 54 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs and 24 RBIs, but also has 62 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 89 hits with 17 doubles and 18 home runs and 53 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
The Mets have won each of their last 10 Sunday day games against AL Central opponents.
The Royals have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that held a winning record.
The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL Central opponents.
Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.400) this season.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Mets last time out to sit at 46-50 on the year. After the all-star break, the Royals will hit the road for an interleague series against the Miami Marlins.
Royals Looking To Avoid Sweep
Bobby Witt Jr. has 111 hits with 32 doubles and 25 stolen bases along with 3 triples, 14 home runs and 54 RBIs while Vinnie Pasquantino has 99 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 56 RBIs. Maikel Garcia’s added 103 hits with 24 doubles, 3 triples, 8 home runs and 40 RBIs and 18 stolen bases and Salvador Perez also has 13 home runs and 54 RBIs but also has 75 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
The Mets have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
The Royals have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
The Royals have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games as favorites.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three games as underdogs.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games against NL East opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 4th in the league in Hits (111) this season.
Total Runs Facts
Ten of the Royals’ last 11 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Mets’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction
I’m on the under here. The Royals for me continue to be one of the more underwhelming and inconsistent offenses in baseball, and Clay Holmes is still a decent option for the Mets. On the other side, Noah Cameron has been a bit of a bright spot for Kansas City, and the Mets have struggled mightily against lefties for much of the season and I think we have another low-scoring matchup here. Give me the under.