Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 28, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Kansas City Royals shortstop Andrew Velazquez (45) forces out Minnesota Twins pinch runner Austin Martin (16) and turns a double play on a ball hit by second baseman Kody Clemens (not pictured) in the eighth inning at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
Team Records
45-63
54-54
Spread
+1.5 -131
-1.5 108
Moneyline
+167
-204
Total
Over 8.5 (-122)
Under 8.5 (101)
Where
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
When
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Time
07:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Kansas City Royals will send out Randy Dobnak for the start here and Dobnak is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Joe Ryan will start for the Twins here and is 6-6 with a 3.38 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Twins on Tuesday to sit at 45-63 this season. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the Colorado Rockies.
Royals Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Jac Caglianone has 87 hits with 17 doubles, 16 home runs, 37 RBIs and 2 triples while Bobby Witt Jr. has 103 hits with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 39 RBIs and Vinnie Pasquantino’s added 68 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs on the year. Maikel Garcia also has 70 hits with 17 doubles, 3 home runs and 30 RBIs this season. Carter Jensen’s also chipped in 83 hits with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 52 RBIs this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their win over Kansas City from Tuesday to sit at 54-54 this season. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series against the Seattle Mariners.
Twins Win 3 Straight
Byron Buxton has 87 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 45 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 94 hits with 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 63 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 86 hits with 14 doubles, 4 homers and 30 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 15 home runs with 56 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 36 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 83 hits with 20 doubles, 5 triples, 18 home runs and 49 RBIs this season.
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: July 29, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan Record this season: 6-6 ERA: 3.38
Home Record: 3-3
Last 5 against Royals: 2-2
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
The Royals have lost each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
The Twins have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games against American League opponents.
The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Randy Dobnak Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 1.42
Road Record: 0-0
Last 5 against Twins: –
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
The Royals have won five of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Twins have lost 12 of their last 18 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last 11 games.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Royals’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Twins’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Royals’ last eight night games.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Twins’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Joe Ryan has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in 11 of his last 17 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Kody Clemens is one of only eight players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
Salvador Perez has hit a home run in four of the Royals’ last 10 games.
Randy Dobnak has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
Nick Loftin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last eight games.
Matchup/League Facts
The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.65).
The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.65).
The Royals rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (196).
The Royals rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (196).
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Twins in this one. I get the case to be made for Kansas City in this game, as they had the Twins dead to rights before the Twins pulled a walk-off win out of the fire on Tuesday. However, Joe Ryan is still the ace of this rotation despite a disastrous outing against Cleveland, and I look for Kansas City to have issues once again here. Give me the Twins in this one.
