Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 9, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox shortstop Colson Montgomery (12) hits a two-run home run against the Seattle Mariners during the first inning at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
Team Records
19-22
19-21
Spread
-1.5 129
+1.5 -156
Moneyline
-126
+104
Total
Over 9.5 (100)
Under 9.5 (-120)
Where
Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
When
Tuesday, May 12, 2026
Time
07:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Kansas City Royals and the Chicago White Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Kansas City Royals will start Stephen Kolek here and Kolek is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Kolek’s first career start against the White Sox. The Chicago White Sox will start Erick Fedde here and Fedde is 0-4 with a 3.79 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fedde is 1-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 16 strikeouts against the Royals.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to shake off a 6-3 loss at the hands of Detroit last time out to sit at 19-22 this season. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Royals Split Last Six Games
Kyle Isbel has 26 hits with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs. Jac Caglianone has 30 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs, 8 RBIs and a triple while Bobby Witt Jr. has 49 hits with 11 doubles, 5 home runs and 19 RBIs and Vinnie Pasquantino’s added 29 hits with 4 doubles, 2 triples, 5 home runs and 19 RBIs on the year. Maikel Garcia also has 43 hits with 12 doubles, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs this season. Carter Jensen’s also chipped in 6 home runs and 18 RBIs this season.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over Seattle last time out to sit at 19-21 this season. After this series, the White Sox will take on the Chicago Cubs in a series at home.
White Sox Win Back-To-Back Games
Munetaka Murakami has 33 hits with 15 home runs and 29 RBIs while Miguel Vargas has 32 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 9 home runs and 22 RBIs and Colson Montgomery has 32 hits with 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 28 RBIs. Luisangel Acuna has 14 hits and Tristan Peters has 24 hits with 3 doubles so far this season. Chase Meidroth also has 40 hits with 9 doubles, 2 home runs and 5 RBIs this year.
Kansas City Royals @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: May 12, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Erick Fedde Record this season: 0-4 ERA: 3.79
Home Record: 0-1
Last 5 against Royals: 1-2
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
The White Sox have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Royals have lost each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents.
The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 12 home games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
The White Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs.
The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites.
The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Stephen Kolek Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 4.50
Road Record: 0-0
Last 5 against White Sox: –
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
The Royals have won each of their last eight night games against the White Sox following a home loss.
The White Sox have lost seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a win.
The Royals have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the White Sox’s last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Nine of the Royals’ last 11 night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last four games as underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Royals’ last 12 night games against AL Central opponents.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
Miguel Vargas has hit at least one home run in three of the White Sox’s last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last 13 games as underdogs.
Munetaka Murakami ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (15) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in five of the Royals’ last nine games as favorites.
Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his 14 previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The White Sox rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (45).
The White Sox rank 27th in the league for hits this season (304).
The Royals rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (178).
The Royals rank T24th in the league for runs scored this season (169).
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I just think this is going to end up being lower scoring between two decent pitching options for their respective sides and two bullpens that have vastly improved over the last few weeks since the start of the season. This feels like a first to 3 or first to 4 wins scenario so give me the under here.
