| MATCHUP | Houston Astros | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 45-47 | 46-45 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | -101 | -120 |
| Total | Over 10 (-114) | Under 10 (-105) |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Monday, July 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 46‑45 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have an 18‑27 home record and are coming off a 5‑11 home defeat against the Pirates. They will face the Yankees and the Athletics next.
The Nationals have a .249 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .430 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Luis Garcia Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 64. James Wood adds a team‑high 23 home runs.
Miles Mikolas (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 2‑7 record, 5.44 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 45‑47 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL West. They have a 22‑23 road record and are coming off a 2‑0 home win against the Rays. They will face the Rangers and the Orioles next.
The Astros have a .241 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .320 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 67 and adding a team‑high 29 home runs.
Mike Burrows (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 4‑8 record, 5.58 ERA and 1.51 WHIP.
Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: July 6, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas Record this season: 2-7 ERA: 5.44
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Astros: 1-1
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Astros.
- The Astros have lost each of their last seven Monday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 20 of their last 24 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven home night games.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five night games at Nationals Park.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Mike Burrows Record this season: 4-8 ERA: 5.58
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Nationals: 0-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have covered the run line each of their last eight games at Nationals Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Astros’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Twelve of the Nationals’ last 14 games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last four road games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four games against American League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit at least one home run in five of his last six home appearances.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (32) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in three of the Astros’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Mike Burrows has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.637) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (485).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (461).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for steals this season (29).
- The Astros rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (397).
Astros vs Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Astros and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Washington.
In this Astros vs Nationals Prediction, the Nationals are coming as -120 home favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have a combined 11.02 ERA. Both teams have bottom-11 bullpen ERA and the Nationals have the best offense in baseball. They also are 9-3 to the over in their last 12 games combined, so I expect a high-scoring affair today. Take the over 10 in this one.