Washington (44-62) vs Houston (60-47)
July 29, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston -145 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Washington Nationals and the Houston Astros meet Tuesday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will start Michael Soroka here and Soroka is 3-8 with a 4.85 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. This will be Soroka’s first career start against the Astros. The Houston Astros did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 win over the Astros from Monday’s opener to sit at 44-62 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Nationals Win Three In A Row
Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs while James Wood has 103 hits with 21 doubles and a team-high 24 home runs along with 70 RBIs and 14 stolen bases while also putting up 134 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 89 hits with 15 doubles and 62 RBIs along with 15 home runs and 119 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 14 home runs and 41 RBIs along with 23 doubles and 23 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 22 doubles and 9 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The road team has won each of the Astros’ last nine games.
- The Astros have lost each of their last six games as home favorites.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last 12 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last 11 games at Daikin Park.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Paul DeJong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.
- Michael Soroka has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Nationals on Monday to sit at 60-47 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Red Sox.
Astros Lose Five In A Row
Jose Altuve has 109 hits including 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 53 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 102 hits with 18 doubles, 11 homers and 40 RBIs with 15 stolen bases as well. Jake Meyers has 15 doubles as well and Christian Walker has 13 home runs and 53 RBIs but has also accrued a team-high 115 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 6 stolen bases while Jake Meyers has 14 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 19 home runs with 50 RBIs of his own and Cam Smith has contributed 7 homers and 43 RBIs.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last seven Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last six Tuesday road games.
- The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 19 night games against American League opponents following a road win.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Nationals.
- Brendan Rodgers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Nationals.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Nationals’ last seven road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros Prediction
I’m backing the Nationals here. I don’t always love fading the Astros at home, but right now, Houston just doesn’t have it offensively as the Astros just haven’t been able to put it all together. The Nationals have been able to provide value in spots and I think Michael Soroka is a better arm than his record would indicate. I’ll roll with Washington on the road until the Astros show up and show me some signs of life.