| MATCHUP | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Spread | +1.5 -156 | -1.5 129 |
| Moneyline | +139 | -168 |
| Total | Over 8 (-101) | Under 8 (-119) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Sunday, April 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 6-9 on the year and play the Rockies and Cardinals next. The Houston Astros are batting .281 on the season and have a .377 OBP, and a .462 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 6.47 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 18 hits and 14 RBI, while Christian Walker and Jose Altuve have combined for 33 hits and 19 RBI.
Cody Bolton gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Bolton’s first career game against the Seattle Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 6-9 on the year and play the Rangers and Padres next. The Seattle Mariners are batting. 193 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and have a .323 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. Cole Young leads the Seattle Mariners with 14 hits and 8 RBI while Randy Arozarena and Brendan Donovan have combined for 25 hits and 11 RBI.
Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Gilbert is 6-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 73 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won each of their last 12 games at T-Mobile Park against teams that held a losing record.
- The Astros have lost each of their last six road games.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Astros.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won 12 of their last 13 day games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Mariners have lost five of their last six day games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The road team has covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Astros and Mariners.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last seven games against AL West opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Astros and Mariners at T-Mobile Park has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Astros’ last nine day games at T-Mobile Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four home games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three road games against AL West opponents.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in 26 of his last 27 road appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
- The Mariners rank 28th in the league for hits this season (94).
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (41).
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.377).
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Gilbert isn’t off to a great start through 16.2 innings, but we know what he’s capable of when he’s right, so I’m not ready to hit the panic button. The bottom line in this spot is that the Astros’ pitching is atrocious. Even last night, when the Astros had a five-run lead, they still found a way to blow it. I have no confidence in this Astros bullpen, and the Mariners offense is finding its form. I’m not getting behind the Astros right now. Give me the Mariners yet again.