Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 8/26/24

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Astros vs Phillies pick. We will examine:

The Houston Astros recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Astros and Phillies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Astros vs Phillies game

Houston Astros Betting Preview

This past weekend the Astros took on the Baltimore Orioles. Houston won the Thursday game 6-0 then fell in the next pair 7-5 and 3-2. In the Sunday finale the Astros powered out the win 6-3. Starer Yusei Kikuchi posted 5.2 innings with three earned runs.

As starter for Monday’s game the Astros are going with Ronel Blanco. This year Blanco is 9-6 with a 3.14 ERA in 24 starts. Over his career Blanco is 11-7 with a 3.63 ERA in 48 games (31 starts).

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over on the Phillies’ side, they’re coming off a set versus the Kansas City Royals. Philadelphia split the first two games 7-4 (loss) and 11-2 (win). In the Sunday rubber match finale, the Phillies rolled to an 11-3 win. Starter Kolby Allard went 5.0 innings with two earned runs.

Philly will send out Zack Wheeler in the start for Monday. So far Wheeler is 12-6 with a 2.73 ERA in 25 starts. Over 252 career starts Wheeler is 99-69 with a 3.38 ERA. The Phillies will meet the Braves after this series.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last four road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five night games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL West opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games against AL West opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven games at Citizens Bank Park.
• Zack Wheeler ranks T7th in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Double in three of his four previous road appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Jake Meyers has recorded an RBI in five of the Astros’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremy Pena has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Phillies.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (351).
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 5th in the league for runs scored this season (638).
• The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.260).
• The Houston Astros rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (946).

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stay with the Phillies. Wheeler is looking pretty good lately. In his last three starts he’s a tepid 1-1 but has only given up five earned on 16 hits and two walks in 18.0 total innings. Wheeler has gone 6.0 frames in each and should be good for a quality start here.

On Sunday the Phillies played a fairly close game until their five runs in the eighth inning. Philadelphia would finish with 16 team hits in a nice overall effort. I see Philly posting another solid overall day behind Wheeler on Monday.