Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 25^th at the Daikin Park in the second game of this series, with the Athletics having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros currently hold a 60-43 record this season, placing them at the top of the AL West. They have a solid 33-20 record at home and are 44-54 in terms of over/under. Recently, they faced a 2-5 loss at home against the Athletics, which ended their previous four-game winning streak. The under has hit in their last three games, and they are set to play against the Nationals and the Red Sox next.

This season, the Astros boast a .259 batting average, a .323 on-base percentage, and a .408 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has an impressive 3.60 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Jose Altuve is leading the team with 107 hits and also tops the team in RBIs with 53. Meanwhile, Jeremy Pena is the best hitter with a .322 batting average, and Isaac Paredes leads the team in home runs with 19.

Ryan Gusto (R) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 6-3 record, 4.46 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics currently hold a 43-62 record this season, placing them at the bottom of the AL West. They have a 23-31 record on the road and are 56-44 in terms of over/under. Recently, they celebrated a 5-2 road win against the Astros, which snapped their previous four-game losing streak. The over has hit 5-2 in their last 7 games, and they are set to face the Diamondbacks and the Mariners next.

This season, the Athletics have a batting average of .249, with a .314 OBP and a .419 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.43. Jacob Wilson is leading the team with 114 hits and boasts the best batting average at .311. Tyler Soderstrom tops the team with 57 RBIs, while Brent Rooker leads the team in home runs, with 21.

Jeffrey Springs (L) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has an 8-7 record, 4.18 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Athletics have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have won 15 of their last 16 Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday games against the Athletics.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine night games against the Athletics at Daikin Park.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Friday games against the Athletics.

Why the Athletics will win

• The Astros have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Astros’ last five games.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last 11 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the run line in 15 of the Astros’ last 16 games.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last three games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Athletics’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Athletics’ last nine games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Athletics and Astros at Daikin Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (984).
• The Astros rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (902).
• The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (156).
• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.20).

Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction

Houston is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the A’s, and are 3-1 in their last 4 home meetings against the A’s. Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 head-to-head meetings.

In this prediction for the Athletics vs Houston Astros game, the Astros are favored at -160 as the home team. Houston deserves this favoritism, given their superior overall record and their strong performance at home. The A’s are struggling with the second-worst bullpen in the league, while the Astros boast a more potent offense. They’re sending Gusto to the mound, who is facing the A’s for the second time this season; his first outing against them was solid, allowing just one earned run over 5 innings. Meanwhile, Springs for the A’s is coming off a rough start, making this an ideal opportunity for the Astros to bounce back. I recommend taking the Houston Astros to secure a win at home today.