Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction 8/9/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 9, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros (65-51, 30-27 Away) are currently on a three-series road trip, during which they were swept by the Boston Red Sox and defeated the Miami Marlins. The Astros opened this series against the Yankees with a 5-3 extra-innings victory on Friday. Jose Altuve and Taylor Trammell led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Hunter Brown pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with five strikeouts and one walk. Josh Hader was credited with the win.

This year, the Astros average 4.32 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .258/.322/.407 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.72 ERA (7th) and 1.20 WHIP (2nd). Jose Altuve leads the Astros with a .282 batting average, 20 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Astros is Framber Valdez, who is 11-5 in 22 starts this season, with a 2.83 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 140.0 innings.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (61-55, 34-23 Home) snapped a five-game losing skid with a win over the Texas Rangers, but they still lost that series. Although the Yanks avoided a sweep in that one, they were swept by the Miami Marlins in a series before. In Game 1 against the Astros last night, the Yankees fell short 5-3 in extra innings. Cam Schlittler pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and one walk, while Devin Williams took the loss.

This season, the Yankees average 5.10 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .250/.329/.447 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 4.05 ERA (17th) and 1.26 WHIP (14th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .339 batting average, 37 home runs, and 86 RBI this season.

Luis Gil will take the mound for the Yankees on Saturday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in one start this year with a 13.50 ERA and 2.70 WHIP in 3.1 innings.

Why the Astros will beat the Yankees

• The Astros have won each of their last five day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last six Saturday day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as road favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Yankees’ last seven home games following an extra-innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Astros and Yankees.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (436).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (590).
• The Astros rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
• The Astros are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Astros vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Astros were better in the last two. I am going with the Astros in this one because of the pitching matchup. Although Framber Valdez struggled in his most recent start against Boston, I expect him to bounce back on Saturday. He posted a 2.16 ERA in July and is one of the candidates for the AL Cy Young Award. Luis Gil, on the other hand, couldn’t get the things going in his first start after coming back from a lengthy injury, allowing five runs in 3.1 innings against Miami. Gil will still need some more time to find his rhythm, and I don’t think that will happen against Houston. Go with the Astros.