Cleveland (42-48) vs Houston (55-37)
July 9, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston -141 / Cleveland +127 — Over/Under: +7.5
The Cleveland Guardians are visiting the Houston Astros on Wednesday, July 9th at the Daikin Park in the third game of this series, with the Guardians having the 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction. We will examine:
The Houston Astros recent form and player performance
The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians
Recent betting trends in games played between the Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros game
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 55-37 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Astros have a 32-16 home record and 40-49 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-10 home defeat by the Guardians, and have back-to-back losses. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Rangers and the Mariners next.
The Astros have a .260 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .413 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with 102 hits and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .322 batting average. Jose Altuve leads the team in RBI with 50, while Isaac Paredes adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Brandon Walter (L) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 1-1 record, 4.15 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 42-48 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Guardians have a 22-25 road record and are 40-47 in over/under. They are coming off a 10-6 road victory over the Astros, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the White Sox and the Athletics next.
The Guardians have a .224 batting average this season, .296 OBP and .365 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 100 hits, while Jose Ramirez is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average, while leading the team both in RBI, with 44 and in home runs with 16.
Slade Cecconi (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 3-4 record, 3.56 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Why the Houston Astros will win
The Guardians have lost nine of their last 10 road games following an extra innings win.
The Astros have won nine of their last 10 home games following a home loss.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Astros following a win.
The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against the Guardians following a loss.
The Astros have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Wednesday night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last six games.
The Astros have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Astros’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Guardians’ last four road games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Guardians’ last seven road games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Astros’ last 12 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Astros rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.261).
The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (882).
The Guardians rank 30th in the league for hits this season (659).
The Guardians rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.224).
Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Guardians have won their last three meetings against the Astros, and are 3-2 in their 5 meetings this season. Both teams are tied 3-3 wins in their last 6 meetings in Houston, and Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction, the Astrosare coming as -140 home favorites. The Astros are rightfully favored, as they have a far better overall record, and have been one of the strongest home teams in the league, while the Guardians are below average on the road. The Astros have both a better bullpen and a better offense, while Walter has been excellent in his two home starts with a 1.42 ERA, while Cecconi for the Guardians has a 5.21 expected ERA. Take the Astros to bounce back and win at home.