Cincinnati Reds (66-73) vs Houston Astros (75-63)
Game Info: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +142 / Houston Astros -169 — Over/Under:
The Houston Astros and the Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Astros vs Reds pick. We will examine:
The Houston Astros’ recent form and player performance
The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends in games played between the Astros and Reds
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Astros vs Reds game
Houston Astros Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Astros took on the Kansas City Royals. Houston took a four-game sweep in that set, then lost to the Reds 5-3 Monday in the opener. In Wednesday’s game two, the Astros took a blowout loss 12-5. Spencer Arrighetti posted nine earned on six hits and three walks in 0.2 innings during the start.
In the starter slot Thursday the Astros will go with Hunter Brown. This year Brown is 11-7 with a 3.55 ERA in 27 games (26 starts). Brown is 24-20 with a 4.12 ERA in 65 games (57 starts) during his career. The Astros will meet the Diamondbacks after this series.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Milwaukee Brewers in their last series. Cincinnati lost the first three outings before a 4-3 Sunday win. In Wednesday’s game, the Reds posted a 14-9 advantage in hits. Starter Nick Martinez posted 5.2 innings with one earned.
As a starter for Thursday, it’ll be Rhett Lowder. After his lone start (the first of his career) Lowder is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and six Ks in 4.0 frames. The Reds will face the Mets and Braves following this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Reds’ last six-day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Astros’ last four-day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Astros and Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
- Jonathan India has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last 11 games against AL West opponents at Great American Ball Park.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in five of his last seven appearances in day games.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Astros as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
- Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Victor Caratini has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
I’m going to stick with Houston. Brown is on a great run right now. Over his last three starts, Brown is 1-0 with just two earned runs in 19.2 combined innings on nine hits and six walks. It’ll be interesting to see what Lowder can do in his second appearance on the other side.
On Wednesday Houston didn’t have much chance after the first inning. Overall the Astros didn’t play too badly from there, however. I like Houston to bounce back for a win in the finale.