| MATCHUP | Houston Astros | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 51-54 | 54-48 |
| Spread | +1.5 -193 | -1.5 158 |
| Moneyline | +105 | -126 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (100) | Under 8.5 (-120) |
| Where | Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Saturday, July 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Chicago White Sox Preview
The Chicago White Sox have a 54-48 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL Central. They have a 31-18 home record and are coming off a 5-9 home loss against the Astros. They will face the Yankees and the Rays next.
The Chicago White Sox have a .240 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Sam Antonacci is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average. Miguel Vargas leads the team in RBI with 61, while Colson Montgomery adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Sean Burke (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago White Sox, and he has a 7-4 record, 3.20 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 51-54 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL West. They have a 25-27 away record and are coming off a 9-5 road win against the White Sox. They will face the Angels and the Rangers next.
The Houston Astros have a .243 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .414 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .327 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 77, and adds a team-high 34 home runs.
Hunter Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Houston Astros, and he has a 1-1 record, 4.05 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Houston Astros @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: July 25, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Burke Record this season: 7-4 ERA: 3.20
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-1
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won each of their last eight games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Astros have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Astros following a home loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the White Sox following a win.
- The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against AL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 4.05
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against White Sox: 4-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday road games against American League opponents.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine home games.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Rate Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Rate Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Astros and White Sox at Rate Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the White Sox’s last seven night games at Rate Field.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Colson Montgomery has hit a home run in each of the White Sox’s last three Saturday night games.
- Sean Burke has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games.
- Sam Antonacci has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Colson Montgomery ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Hunter Brown has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances against the White Sox.
- Hunter Brown has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (34) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The White Sox rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (914).
- The White Sox rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (914).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (457).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (457).
Astros vs White Sox Prediction
The Astros have won their last three meetings against the White Sox and two of their last three visits in Chicago.
In this Astros vs White Sox Prediction, the White Sox are coming as -125 home favorites. I like the White Sox in a bounce back spot at home with a red-hot Sean Burke on the mound, who has given up one run or less in five of his last six starts. On the flip side, Hunter Brown has been in a big slump for the Astros, having given up 13 runs across his last three starts. The White Sox have a better bullpen and have been averaging 7 runs per game against righties in their last 10 games, so take them to win this one at home.