Boston Red Sox (61-52) vs Houston Astros (59-55)
Game Info: Friday, August 9, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -125 / Houston Astros +105 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 9th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Astros recent form and recent player performance
- The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
- Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Boston
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Boston
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 59-55 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Houston is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Rays, lost two out of three against the Pirates, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. Houston is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are battling Seattle in the AL West.
The Houston pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 519 runs with a .259 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .303 with 14 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Astros this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 61-52 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Boston is coming off of a series win against Kansas City, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Rangers, won two out of three against the Mariners, and lost two out of three against the Yankees. Boston is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 563 runs with a .262 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .304 with 25 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 9-6 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 124.0 innings pitched this year. Blanco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 8-8 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 134.0 innings pitched this year. Houck has allowed three earned runs or more in four straight starts.
Why the Red Sox will beat the Astros
- The Red Sox have won nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have lost three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents following a loss.
Why the Astros will beat the Red Sox
- The road team has won each of the last five games between the Astros and Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 11 games at Fenway Park following a road loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in 12 of the Astros’ last 13 games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games following a road loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Red Sox’s last 13 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last three night games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against AL West opponents.
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games at Fenway Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games at Fenway Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Masataka Yoshida has scored at least one run in nine of his 10 previous appearances at Fenway Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded an RBI in five of the Astros’ last six road games against AL East opponents.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Red Sox.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Red Sox.
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Houston comes into this matchup two games behind the Red Sox in the win column, but they are battling for first in the AL West with Seattle, while Boston is six games out of first in the AL East. The Red Sox are just 27-28 at home this season, while Houston is 27-29 on the road. The Red Sox have been involved in a bunch of high scoring games recently, as their offense has been able to cover up for some bad pitching. Houck has had some struggles in his last four starts, while Blanco has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three. Boston overs are on fire right now, so my Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for this game to go over the total.