Guardians vs Marlins Prediction 7/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 12th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 50-46 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 4-1. In game two, Cleveland scored two runs in the fourth inning and two more in the eighth to secure the win. The Guardians recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Kwan, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Bibee allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Holderman picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Twins and split four games with the White Sox. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 380 runs with a .228 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 10 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Joey Cantillo, who is 7-4 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 96.0 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 52-44 this season after they lost game two by a score of 1-4 on Saturday. Miami cut the deficit to 2-1 in the seventh inning, but that was the only offense they could find in the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hicks, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Perez allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Kempner allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Mariners in three games and swept the Athletics in three games. 

This season, Miami has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 437 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 13 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added nine home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Tyler Phillips, who is 2-3 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 74.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won five of their last six day games following a home loss.
• The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight Sunday road games.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Sunday day games as road underdogs.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Marlins’ last four games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last six games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Marlins’ last six day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last nine home games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last seven day games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games at LoanDepot Park.
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Joey Cantillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances.
• Brayan Rocchio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight day games.
• Chase DeLauter has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (93).
• The Marlins are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
• The Guardians rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (380).
• The Guardians rank 29th in the league for hits this season (721).

Guardians vs Marlins Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Guardians are 26-24 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 31-19 at home. Miami has won three of their last five games, but they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Marlins are starting Phillips, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Cantillo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8