Giants vs Mets Prediction 9/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Giants vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 5th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 58-84 this year after they lost game one by a score of 6-10 last night. San Francisco cut the deficit to 9-6 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Giants recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Devers, who went 3-4 with one home run and five RBIs. Wilkinson allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Marte allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, San Francisco lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win a makeup game against the Braves before that. 

This season, San Francisco has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 592 runs with a .248 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Rafael Devers has led the Giants with 33 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Willy Adames has added 21 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Anthony Molina, who is 2-0 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 64-77 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-6 on Friday. New York scored seven runs in the first two innings and cruised to the high scoring win. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. McLean allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Warren allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Astros before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 587 runs with a .236 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 23 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 15 home runs and 68 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Zac Thornton, who is 3-4 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 61.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven games at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Giants have lost each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Giants.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Giants have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL opponents.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The underdogs have won 10 of the last 14 games between the Giants and Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a home win.
• The Giants have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games at Citi Field following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Giants’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last three games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Giants’ last seven road games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Zach Thornton has recorded four or more strikeouts in six of his seven previous appearances at Citi Field.
• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games against the Giants.
• Francisco Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Giants.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in six of the Giants’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Drew Gilbert has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Giants vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 20 runs in their last two. The Mets are 33-39 at home this year, while the Giants are 25-48 on the road. San Francisco has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 28 runs in those three losses. The Giants are starting Molina, who has allowed three earned runs in his last 9.1 innings, while Thornton has allowed 2, 1, 3, 3, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8