San Francisco (54-55) vs New York (62-47)
August 1, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article we will formulate a Giants vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1st at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 54-55 this season after they lost all three against the Pirates by scores of 5-6, 1-3, and 1-2. In their game three loss, San Francisco led 1-0 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the low scoring loss. The Giants recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Smith, who had their lone RBI in the defeat. San Francisco started Webb, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Walker picked up the loss in the 10th.
Prior to that series, the Giants lost all three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. San Francisco has lost six games in a row and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 443 runs with a .232 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Wilmer Flores has led San Francisco with 12 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Willy Adames has added 16 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Robbie Ray, who is 9-5 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 129.0 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 62-47 this year after they lost all three games against San Diego by scores of 6-7, 1-7, and 0-5. In their game three loss, New York fell behind in the second inning and never recovered in the shutout loss. The Mets recorded just three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Nimmo, Vientos, and Mauricio, who all had one hit in the loss. New York started Holmes, who allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Garcia allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to that series, the Mets swept the Giants in three games and also swept the Angels in three games. New York has won seven of their last ten games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 473 runs with a .241 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 22 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 25 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 7-4 with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 121.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Mets will beat the Giants
- The Giants have lost each of their last seven games following a home loss.
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games at Citi Field against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Giants’ last 10 road games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Giants have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Giants’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Giants.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Matt Chapman has hit at least one home run in each of the Giants’ last two games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jung Hoo Lee has recorded a Double in three of the Giants’ last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road underdog.
Giants vs Mets Prediction
Both of these teams come into this contest after getting swept in their previous series, so both will be looking to get back on track. New York is 37-16 at home this year, while San Francisco is 26-29 on the road. The Giants have not hit the ball very well recently and they are facing Peterson, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Mets are going against Ray, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. This should be a great pitching matchup, but I can’t back the Giants right now. Take New York at home.