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Dodgers vs Reds Prediction 07/30/2025 Picks

Cincinnati Reds right fielder Jake Fraley (27) crosses the plate on a two-run home run in the fourth inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. The Reds led 3-2 after four innings.

Cincinnati Reds right fielder Jake Fraley (27) crosses the plate on a two-run home run in the fourth inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. The Reds led 3-2 after four innings.

Los Angeles (63-45) vs Cincinnati (56-52)

July 30, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 30th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 63-45 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 5-4. In their game two win, Los Angeles trailed 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last three runs in the game to escape with the victory. The Dodgers recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Edman and Smith, who both had two RBIs in the win. Los Angeles started Glasnow, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Diaz got the win and Vesia picked up the save.  

Prior to this series, the Dodgers lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Los Angeles has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the NL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 566 runs with a .255 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Shohei Ohtani has led LA with 38 home runs and 73 RBI’s, while Andy Pages has added 19 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Shohei Ohtani, who is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 56-52 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-4 on Tuesday. Cincinnati took a 4-2 lead in the fifth, but failed to score over the final four innings for the loss. The Reds recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Fraley, who went 1-1 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Lodolo, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Pagan picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Reds won all three games against the Rays, but did lose two out of three against the Nationals before that. Cincinnati has won four of their last six games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 491 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 11 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 9-9 with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 121.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Reds will beat the Yankees

  • The Reds have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have lost five of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Dodgers at Great American Ball Park.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Dodgers’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eleven of the Reds’ last 13 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 11 night games between the Dodgers and Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Reds as home underdogs.
  • Jose Trevino has hit a home run in three of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in three of the Reds’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks T10th in the league in Hits (116) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Tommy Edman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Shohei Ohtani has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 Wednesday appearances in night games.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances at Great American Ball Park.
  • Will Smith ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.325) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Reds rank 21st in the league for strikeouts against this season (923).
  • The Reds rank T10th in the league for walks this season (364).
  • The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (162).
  • The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.443).

Dodgers vs Reds Prediction 

Los Angeles was able to get a nice come from behind victory on Tuesday night and they will look to make it three in a row here. The Dodgers are 28-24 on the road this year, while the Reds are 31-24 at home. Cincinnati was rolling prior to this series, but they have allowed 10 runs in the last two games. The Reds are starting Martinez, who has allowed two earned runs in each of his last three starts. The Dodgers are going with Ohtani, who has been very good, but has been limited. I know the Dodgers appear to have the edge on the mound, but I don’t think Ohtani will go more than five innings and their bullpen is a big concern. Take the Reds with the plus money. 

David Racey's Pick: Reds ML

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