Los Angeles (61-45) vs Cincinnati (56-50)
July 28, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5
In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 61-45 this year after they lost two out of three against Boston by scores of 5-2, 2-4, and 3-4. In their game three loss, Los Angeles led 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they went scoreless over the last five innings for the defeat. The Dodgers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Betts, Freeman, and Conforto, who all had one RBI in the loss. LA started May, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Wrobleski pitched two scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Dodgers won two out of three against the Twins, but lost all three against the Brewers. Los Angeles has lost six of their last nine games and they are currently first in the NL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 556 runs with a .255 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Shohei Ohtani has led LA with 38 home runs and 71 RBI’s, while Andy Pages has added 19 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is 8-7 with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 109.1 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-50 this season after they swept Tampa Bay by scores of 7-2, 6-2, and 2-1. In their game three win, Cincinnati scored both of their runs in the first inning, but went scoreless over the final seven innings. The Reds recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Hays and Lux, who both had one RBI in the win. Cincinnati started Singer, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.1 innings for the win, while Pagan picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Mets. Cincinnati has won four games in a row and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 485 runs with a .247 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 11 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 0-2 with a 6.65 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 21.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Dodgers will beat the Reds
- The favorites have won seven of the Reds’ last eight games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have lost three of their last four night games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in nine of their last 12 games at Great American Ball Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Reds’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 10 Monday night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Dodgers and Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in three of the Reds’ last four home games.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Will Benson has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Dodgers.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T9th in the league in Hits (114) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances at Great American Ball Park.
- Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five night games.
- Will Smith ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.325) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 22nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (897).
- The Reds rank T10th in the league for walks this season (352).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (533).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (377).
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction
Cincinnati comes into this contest looking for their fifth win in a row, as they try to gain ground in the NL Wild Card race. The Reds are 31-22 at home this year, while the Dodgers are 26-24 on the road. Los Angeles is coming off of a series loss to Boston, where they struggled to score runs. The Dodgers are starting Yamamoto, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Reds are going with Burns, who has allowed five earned runs in two of his last four outings. Take the Dodgers -1.5 here.