Dodgers vs Braves Prediction 10/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 7th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB playoff matchup. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are up 2-1 in this series after they won two of the first three games by scores of 5-3, 2-3, and 3-1. In game three, Los Angeles scored three runs in the fourth inning and they were able to hang on for the low scoring win. The Dodgers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Yamamoto allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Diaz picked up the save. Prior to this series, Los Angeles had a bye in the wild card round and swept the Giants in three games to end the regular season. 

This season, Los Angeles had a 3.55 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they scored 801 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Andy Pages led the Dodgers with 23 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani added 30 home runs and 81 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tyler Glasnow, who was 5-2 with a 3.53 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 74.0 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are down 1-2 in this series after they lost game three by a score of 1-3 last night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Braves recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Baldwin, who went 0-4 with one RBI. Sale allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Suter threw an inning in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta defeated the Phillies in three games in the wild card round and lost two out of three against the Marlins to end the season. 

This season, Atlanta had a 3.63 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they scored 742 runs with a .246 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Matt Olson led the Braves with 41 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin added 25 home runs and 79 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Tyler Mahle, who is 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this postseason. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven playoff games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four playoff games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against the Dodgers.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 road playoff games.
• The Braves have lost four of their last five playoff games against NL West opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six night playoff games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five playoff games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Dodgers’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last four playoff games as underdogs against Dodgers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine road games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Braves’ last six home games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Dodgers.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Wednesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last seven games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Michael Harris ranks 8th in the league in Hits (174) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four playoff games as favorites.
• Tyler Glasnow has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Will Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 10 night playoff games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (465).
• The Braves are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (600).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.424).

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction

Los Angeles comes into this matchup looking to advance to the NLCS with a win, but they will be back on the road. The Dodgers were 49-32 on the road this season, while the Braves were 52-29 at home. Atlanta has pitched pretty well in this series, but their offense has scored three runs or fewer in all three games. The Braves are starting Mahle, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Glasnow has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four outings. Take the Braves to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Braves ML