Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 3rd at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-15 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Arizona took a 2-1 lead in the sixth inning, but they allowed two runs in the seventh for the loss. The Diamondbacks recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Perdomo and Gurriel Jr., who both had one RBI in the loss. Arizona started Kelly, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Castillo was tagged with the blown save and the loss out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks won two out of three against the Mets, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. Arizona has lost six of its last nine games, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 163 runs with a .246 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 10 home runs and 21 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 5-1 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 35.2 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-14 this year after they picked up the 3-2 win on Friday night. Philadelphia led 1-0 in the first inning, but they didn’t score again until the seventh, when they were able to complete the comeback for the win. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Schwarber, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Luzardo, who allowed nine hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Banks picked up the win and Alvarado got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Cubs. Philadelphia has won five of its last six games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 143 runs with a .250 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 10 home runs and 25 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added five home runs and 16 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 0-5 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Phillies

• The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games.
• The road team has covered the run line in five of the Phillies’ last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight Saturday night games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight Saturday games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in each of his seven previous home appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last nine games at Citizens Bank Park.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a Single in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against the Phillies.
• Gabriel Moreno has scored a run in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against NL East opponents.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to stay hot on Friday night and get the win in game one of this series, and they are now 12-5 at home. Arizona has lost six of its last nine games overall, but they are 9-7 on the road. The Diamondbacks have had issues with their pitching staff, especially their bullpen, but they will be starting Pfaadt, who has been very good. The Phillies are going with Nola, who has allowed four earned runs or more in two of his last three starts. I don’t trust this Arizona bullpen, but I like Pfaadt on the mound. Take the Diamondbacks to win.  

David Racey's Pick: Diamondbacks ML