Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers Prediction 7/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Detroit Tigers left fielder Riley Greene (31) bats against New York Yankees during the third inning at Comerica Park in Detroit on Wednesday, June 24, 2026.
MATCHUP
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
Team Records
39-50
45-44
Spread
-1.5 135
+1.5 -163
Moneyline
-125
+104
Total
Over 7.5 (-117)
Under 7.5 (-103)
Where
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas
When
Sunday, July 5, 2026
Time
03:30 PM EDT
TV
Peacock
The Detroit Tigers and the Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will send out Casey Mize for the start here and Mize is 3-5 with a 2.63 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Kumar Rocker will start here for the Rangers and is 2-6 with a 3.83 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 3-0 win over the Rangers from Saturday to sit at 45-44 this season. After this series, the Tigers will take on the Athletics in a series at home.
Tigers Win 4 Of Last 5
Going into Saturday’s game, Riley Greene has 90 hits with 18 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 RBIs while Kevin McGonigle has 91 hits with 18 doubles, 3 triples, 7 home runs and 31 RBIs. Spencer Torkelson’s added 63 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 RBIs and Dillon Dingler has 82 hits with 19 doubles, 19 home runs and 59 RBIs this season. Colt Keith’s added 59 hits with 9 doubles and 19 RBIs and Matt Vierling has 43 hits with 11 doubles, 5 home runs and 29 RBIs.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Tigers on Saturday to sit at 45-44 this season. After this series, the Rangers will take on the Angels in a series at home.
Rangers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Entering Saturday, Brandon Nimmo has 83 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 8 home runs and 29 RBIs while Jake Burger has 77 hits with 14 doubles, 14 home runs and 52 RBIs. Corey Seager has 34 hits with 6 doubles, 10 home runs and 25 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 38 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs while Josh Jung has 95 hits with 21 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs as well on the year.
Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: July 5, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Kumar Rocker Record this season: 2-6 ERA: 3.83
Home Record: 1-5
Last 5 against Tigers: 1-1
Why the Texas Rangers will win
The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
The Rangers have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 2.63
Road Record: 1-3
Last 5 against Rangers: 0-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The road team has won six of the Tigers’ last seven games.
The Rangers have lost four of their last five home games against American League opponents.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
The road team has covered the run line in six of the Tigers’ last seven games.
The Rangers have lost the first inning in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
Total Runs Facts
Ten of the Rangers’ last 12 games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Tigers’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Kumar Rocker’s last six appearances as a starter.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as road favorites.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Joc Pederson has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
Kumar Rocker has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.
Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Josh Jung ranks T8th in the league in Hits (96) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Hao-Yu Lee has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL West opponents.
Casey Mize has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine games as road favorites.
Kevin McGonigle ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.393) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Rangers rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (254).
The Rangers rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (130).
The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (31).
The Tigers rank T6th in the league for triples this season (16).
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers Prediction
I’m on the Rangers here. More often than not in the last couple of weeks the Rangers have come out ahead and I think this is a spot where they could do the same here as well. Mize has been one of the better options that the Tigers have had to this point, but I think Texas takes care of business in this one.
