| MATCHUP | Detroit Tigers | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 87-75 | 90-72 |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Friday, October 10, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:08 PM EDT | |
| TV | FOX | |
The Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB Game 5 NLDS action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are a win away from their first ALCS since the 2013 season. The Detroit Tigers are batting .218 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and a .331 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. Javier Baez leads the Detroit Tigers with 9 hits and 5 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Riley Greene have combined for 15 and 3 RBI.
Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 13-6 with a 2.21 ERA and 241 strikeouts this season. Skubal is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his postseason career. Skubal is 3-2 with a 3.77 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are a win away from their first ALCS since the 2001 season. The Seattle Mariners are batting .219 on the season, have a .285 OBP, and a .387 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Cal Raleigh leads the Seattle Mariners with 7 hits and 4 RBI, while Randy Arozarena and Julio Rodriguez have combined for 8 hits and 4 RBI.
George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 10-8 with a 4.21 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. Kirby is 0-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his postseason career. Kirby is 2-4 with a 7.48 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: George Kirby Record this season (inc. playoffs): 10-8 ERA: 4.19
- Home Record: 5-4
- Last 5 against Tigers: 1-3
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won seven of the Tigers’ last eight games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Tigers and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal Record this season (inc. playoffs): 14-6 ERA: 2.19
- Road Record: 5-5
- Last 5 against Mariners: 2-2
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Tigers have won four of their last five road playoff games against AL West opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against the Mariners at T-Mobile Park following a win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Tigers and Mariners at T-Mobile Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last seven games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mariners’ last four home games against AL opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Luke Raley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Tigers after not playing the previous day.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.589) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Vierling has recorded a hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Tarik Skubal ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (238).
- The Mariners rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (161).
- The Tigers rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1454).
- The Tigers rank 23rd in the league for doubles this season (244).
Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Mariners and plus money is worth a look when you factor in that offense and that home crowd. Once the Mariners get rolling, it can feel like an avalanche. However, I’m just going to back arguably the best pitcher in the sport in Skubal, who has a 2.21 ERA and 0.89 WHIP on the season. Skubal has allowed 25 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 37 innings. In 94 road innings, Skubal has a .196 allowed batting average. Kirby has been hittable all year, and current Tigers are batting .293 with 10 homers in 99 at bats against him. I’m rolling with the Tigers.