Detroit (60-42) vs Pittsburgh (41-61)
July 23, 2025 at 12:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Wednesday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 60-42 on the year and play the Blue Jays, Diamondbacks, and Phillies next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .249 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .418 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 107 hits and 79 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Zach McKinstry have combined for 174 hits and 77 RBI.
Troy Melton will make his major league debut when he takes the mound. Melton was 12-12 with a 3.63 ERA and 319 strikeouts in his minor league career. In the minors this season, Melton was 2-3 with a 2.99 ERA and 101 strikeouts.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 41-61 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Giants, and Rockies next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .231 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .341 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 88 hits and 50 RBI while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 165 hits and 65 RBI.
Bailey Falter gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 6-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. This will be Falter’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games at PNC Park against teams that held a winning record.
The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine games.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games following a loss.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday home games.
The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a win.
The Tigers have won each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Pirates at PNC Park following a loss.
The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
Tommy Pham has hit a home run in four of his last 12 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 18 games at PNC Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.
Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I have a rule of avoiding pitchers making their big league debut because there’s no sample size. You have no idea what to expect. It doesn’t help that Melton is not even a top prospect for the Tigers. The Tigers haven’t looked great in the second half and while that’s sure to turnaround at some point, it’s hard to keep backing them while they’re burning a hole in the pocket. Falter has been decent this season and through 56.2 home innings he has a 3.65 ERA and .228 allowed batting average. I’ll take a shot with the Pirates at home.,turn around