| MATCHUP | Detroit Tigers | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 65-47 | 62-48 |
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Sunday, August 3, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | FanDuel SN DET | |
In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 3, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers (65-47, 29-26 Away) were on a four-game winning streak after defeating the Blue Jays and sweeping the Diamondbacks, but couldn’t make it five straight after losing to the Phillies in Game 1 of the current series. Still, the Tigers returned to winning ways on Saturday by securing a 7-5 victory. Javier Baez led the offense with four RBI, while Tarik Skubal got the win after allowing three runs on five hits with ten strikeouts and no walks across 7.0 innings of work.
This season, the Tigers average 4.83 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .249/.318/.420 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Tigers’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (9th) and 1.23 WHIP (8th). Riley Greene leads the Tigers with a .271 batting average, 26 home runs, and 84 RBI this season.
Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Tigers on Sunday. The 41-year-old right-hander has a 7-8 record in 17 starts this year with a 5.42 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 101.1 innings. Morton will make his first start for the Tigers after joining from the Orioles.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (62-48, 34-20 Home) beat the Yankees and lost to the White Sox on the road before opening a series against the Tigers with a 5-4 win on Friday. However, the Tigers responded, so the Phillies lost Game 2, 7-5. Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Zack Wheeler took the loss after allowing four runs (three earned) on nine hits with ten strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings.
This year, the Phillies average 4.67 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .254/.327/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.80 ERA (12th) and 1.25 WHIP (12th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .251 batting average, 37 home runs, and 87 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Christopher Sanchez, who is 9-3 in 21 starts this season, with a 2.55 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 130.2 innings.
Why the Phillies will beat the Tigers
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last three games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (310).
- The Phillies rank 5th in the league for batting average this season (.254).
- The Tigers are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Tigers rank 5th in the league for runs scored this season (543).
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including two of the last three. I am backing the Phillies to win today and clinch the series, because I like the pitching matchup, which is, in my opinion, favorable for the hosts. Christopher Sanchez has been sensational in the last two months as he has kept his ERA below 2.00. He did allow four runs in his latest start against the White Sox, but limited the opponents to just one run in six consecutive starts before that. Charlie Morton, on the other hand, surrendered 13 runs in his previous three starts, and even though he is one of the most experienced players in the MLB, I expect him to be a bit nervous in his first start for the Tigers. Back the Phillies.