Detroit (64-46) vs Philadelphia (61-47)
August 1, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia -1.5 — Over/Under: +8
The Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 64-46 on the year and play the Twins, Angels, and White Sox next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .250 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and a .421 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 115 hits and 84 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Spencer Torkelson have combined for 186 hits and 113 RBI.
Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 6-10 with a 4.51 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 61-47 on the year and play the Orioles, Rangers, and Reds next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .254 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .412 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 127 hits and 44 RBI while Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 209 hits and 144 RBI.
Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-4 with a 2.59 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven home games following a loss.
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six home games following a loss.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games against the Tigers.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have won each of their last four games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in eight of the Phillies’ last 10 night games.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four night games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one Double in three of the Tigers’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Tigers are putting together a strong week, but I’m leaning toward the over in this spot. Flaherty has been up and down this season overall and in 43 road innings he has a 6.28 ERA and .282 allowed batting average. While Suarez has been sharp in his own right, he has a 4.15 ERA and .276 allowed batting average in 39 home innings. Suarez has allowed 16 hits and seven runs in his last 10 innings overall. I expect some runs in this spot given the splits of both pitchers. Give me the over.