| MATCHUP | Detroit Tigers | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 37-49 | 48-37 |
| Spread | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 135 |
| Moneyline | +119 | -143 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-111) | Under 9.5 (-109) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Wednesday, July 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 37-49 on the year and play the Rangers and Athletics next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .236 on the season and have a .315 OBP and a .398 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 89 hits and 37 RBI, while Dillon Dingler and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 166 hits and 89 RBI.
Troy Melton gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 4-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Melton’s second career game against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 48-37 on the year and play the Twins and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .237 on the season and have a .320 OBP and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.36 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 80 hits and 54 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 141 hits and 82 RBI.
Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight Wednesday road games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Yankees have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have won each of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Tigers and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last four games against American League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Tigers’ last eight road games against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 13 of the Yankees’ last 14 Wednesday games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games at Yankee Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Will Warren has recorded six or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 13 appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
- Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Will Warren has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ben Rice ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.564) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Troy Melton has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Troy Melton has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (79).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.423).
- The Tigers rank 25th in the league for batting average this season (.236).
- The Tigers rank 7th in the league for ERA this season (3.76).
Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees continue this free fall, and we’ve already cashed in this series with the underdog Tigers. I’m going back to the well. Melton has been strong through 37.2 innings with a 2.39 ERA and 0.85 WHIP, and he’s allowed 15 hits and 8 runs in his last 25 innings. On the road through 20.2 innings, Melton has a 1.74 ERA and a .167 allowed batting average. We’re getting a pitcher in great form and money to fade a Yankees team that needs to get healthy. I’ll grab the Tigers and the more favorable price.