Minnesota Twins (47-37) vs Detroit Tigers (38-46)
July 2, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins +107 / Detroit Tigers -127 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB game 1 action at Target Field. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 38-46 on the year after games against the Phillies and Angels. The Detroit Tigers have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 games. The Detroit Tigers have lost 5 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 77 hits and 41 RBI, while Matt Vierling and Mark Canha have combined for 128 hits and 65 RBI.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 47-37 on the year after games against the Diamondbacks and Mariners. The Minnesota Twins have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 11 of their last 14 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 81 hits and 27 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Carlos Santana have combined for 144 hits and 79 RBI.
Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup
Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 9-3 with a 2.32 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Skubal has allowed 28 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 30 innings. Skubal has a 2.98 ERA and .228 allowed batting average in 45.1 road innings. Skubal is 3-3 with a 3.53 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 21 hits and 13 runs in his last 26 innings. Richardson has a 3.46 ERA and .200 allowed batting average in 26 home innings. Richardson is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Minnesota Twins will Beat the Tigers
- The underdogs have won each of the Tigers’ last four games.
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last five games.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Correa has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Gio Urshela has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Twins.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers’ last three games at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in each of the Tigers’ last six road games against the Twins.
- Matt Vierling has recorded two or more hits in each of his four previous appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last four games against the Twins at Target Field.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Tigers’ last five games at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Tarik Skubal ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.32) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (217).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (100).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (215).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Detroit Tigers are getting love at this price because Tarik Skubal is on the mound. Skubal has been one of the best starters in the league this season and is the current betting favorite for the AL CY Young. With that said, Simeon Woods Richardson has been decent in his own right this year and the Twins are the better team overall over the Tigers. There’s always value to getting the better team and the better price. Being at home is just a bonus. Give me the Twins in game 1 against the Tigers.