Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at the Target Field in the fourth game of this series, with the Tigers having the 3-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 57-66 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 32-28 home record and are 53-62 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-8 home defeat by the Tigers, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 games and are playing the Athletics and the White Sox next.

The Twins have a .238 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 96 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 60, and in home runs, with 24. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .275 batting average.

The Twins have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 73-52 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central. The Tigers have a 34-28 road record and are 64-54 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-5 road victory over the Twins, and are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games and are playing the Royals and the Astros next.

The Tigers have a .250 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .421 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 125 hits, leading the team both in RBI, with 90, and in home runs, with 28. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average.

Chris Paddack (R) is the projected starter for the Tigers, and he has a 4-10 record, 4.76 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a home loss.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last six day games against the Twins following a road win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Tigers.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have lost each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Tigers following a loss.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 Sunday games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Tigers’ last 10 day games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (334).
• The Twins rank T25th in the league for steals this season (60).
• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (53).
• The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (25).

Tigers vs Twins Prediction

The Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 head-to-head meetings against the Twins, and are 8-4 in their 12 meetings this season. The Tigers are also 5-1 in their last 6 visits in Minnesota.

In this Tigers vs Twins Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -125 road favorites. The Tigers are red-hot after a long time, while the Twins are struggling in what looks to be a lost season. Paddack has some bad overall numbers this season, but he has only one earned run in three of his last four starts. Detroit also has the bullpen edge and a better offense, and even without an announced starting pitcher for the Twins, I think that they will keep rolling and extend their winning streak today.