Cleveland Guardians (93-69) vs Detroit Tigers (88-77)
Game Info: Monday, October 7, 2024 at 4:08 pm (Progressive Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +115 / Detroit Tigers -125 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 7th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game two in the ALDS, we will examine:
- The Tigers recent form and recent player performance
- The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
- Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Cleveland
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Cleveland
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers will look to bounce back in this game after losing game one by a score of 7-0. The Tigers allowed five runs in the first inning of game one and they were never able to get back into the game. Detroit did sweep the Astros in the Wild Card round, winning both games by scores of 3-1 and 5-2. Prior to the postseason, the Tigers lost two out of three against the White Sox, swept the Rays, and won two out of three against the Orioles.
The Detroit pitching staff had a 3.61 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average in the regular season. The Tigers offense scored 682 runs with a .234 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this year. Riley Greene hit .262 with 24 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Tigers this season.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians won game one in this series by a score of 7-0 and they will look to take a commanding 2-0 lead with a win here. Cleveland scored five runs in the first inning of game one and out hit Detroit by a total of 8-4 in the win. Cleveland did win the AL Central by 6.5 games over Detroit and Kansas City. Prior to the postseason, the Guardians lost both games against the Astros, won both games against the Reds, and lost two out of three against the Cardinals.
The Cleveland pitching staff had a 3.61 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians offense scored 708 runs with a .238 batting average and a .307 on base percentage during the regular season. Jose Ramirez hit .279 with 39 home runs and 118 RBI’s this year.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 192.0 innings pitched this season. Skubal threw six scoreless innings against Houston in the Wild Card round. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Matthew Boyd, who is 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this year. Boyd has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but has only pitched 4.0, 2.2, and 4.1 innings in his last three.
Why the Tigers will beat the Guardians
- The Tigers have won eight of their last nine road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have lost six of their last eight home games against the Tigers following a home win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Guardians following a road loss.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Tigers at Progressive Field following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Guardians’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eleven of the Tigers’ last 14 games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games at Progressive Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians’ last five home games.
- Josh Naylor has recorded an RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five playoff games.
- Lane Thomas has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Tigers.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 5th in the league in Steals (41) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has scored a run in each of the Tigers’ last six games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one total base in each of the Tigers’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as road favorites.
- Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Tigers as road favorites.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
- Tarik Skubal ranks T1st in the league for Wins (18) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (621).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (416).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Detroit comes into this game trying to avoid falling down 0-2 in the series and they will have one of the best pitchers in the MLB on the mound in this game. Tarik Skubal has been dominant this season and he pitched a gem against Houston in the Wild Card round. Cleveland is going with Matthew Boyd, who hasn’t pitched much this year and was also with Detroit for a few years, so the Tigers may have the advantage in the batters box. Cleveland raced out to an early led in game one, but I think the Tigers will bounce back with Skubal on the mound. Take Detroit here.