Cleveland Guardians (59-40) vs Detroit Tigers (50-51)
Game Info: Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Progressive Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -179 / Detroit Tigers +151 — Over/Under:
The Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance
The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians
Recent betting trends in games played between the Tigers and Guardians
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tigers vs Guardians game
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
Over the weekend, the Tigers played the Toronto Blue Jays. Detroit won the first pair in that set before a 5-4 loss on Sunday. The Tigers won 8-2 over the Guardians in the opener of this set then fell 5-4 in game two. On Wednesday Detroit took a rough 2-1 loss.
Tyler Holton will take the start for the Tigers on Thursday. This year Holton is 4-1 with a 3.07 ERA in 40 games (two starts). Holton is 7-3 with a 2.52 career ERA in 109 games (three starts).
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the San Diego Padres over the weekend. Cleveland won 7-0 in the opener of that set before a pair of losses 7-0 and 2-1 to drop the series. On Wednesday the Guardians scored the winning run in the bottom of the eighth inning.
Gavin Williams will start the game for the Guardians on Thursday. So far this year Williams is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in four starts. Williams is 3-7 in his career with a 3.51 ERA in 20 starts.
Tigers vs Guardians Pick Injury Notes
Tigers CF Parker Meadows (hamstring) was scheduled to run the bases Wednesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Tigers’ last 11 road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three day games.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Steven Kwan has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last eight games at Progressive Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last nine appearances in day games.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in 14 of his last 17 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
- Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine Thursday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one Single in each of the Tigers’ last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Carson Kelly has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in day games.
- Gio Urshela has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I might take a stab on the Guardians here. I could certainly go either way, though. Williams will need a bounce-back start. He posted there earned in 3.2 innings during a loss to the Padres his last time up. Williams put up 10.1 innings with one earned over his previous pair, though.
On Wednesday the Guardians had just four hits, but they also held Detroit to just two on the other side. It took five arms to get there however, so Cleveland will need a nice outing from Williams. It might be prudent to try Detroit in this one.