Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 7/7/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Cincinnati Reds (42-47) vs Detroit Tigers (41-48)

Game Info: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +120 / Detroit Tigers -140 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 7th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

The Tigers recent form and recent player performance
The Reds recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Cincinnati
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Cincinnati

Tigers Looking for Rare Sweep

The Detroit Tigers are 41-48 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Detroit has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 5-3. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Twins, lost three out of four against the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Detroit is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the AL Central.

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 366 runs with a .228 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .263 with 17 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in five of their last seven games.

Reds Lost All Momentum

The Cincinnati Reds are 42-47 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Cincinnati came into this series after sweeping the Yankees, but they have not played well here. Prior to this series, the Reds swept the Yankees, split four games with the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. Cincinnati is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL Central.

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 381 runs with a .226 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .250 with 15 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed at least four runs in 11 of their last 14 games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 9-3 with a 2.45 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this year. Skubal has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, who is 5-4 with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season. Ashcraft has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts.

Why the Tigers will beat the Reds

The Reds have lost each of their last seven day games at Great American Ball Park following a home loss.
The road team has won six of the Reds’ last seven games.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Tigers’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Reds’ last six home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six day games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three day games at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Graham Ashcraft has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three games against AL opponents.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Jonathan India has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Jonathan India has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Great American Ball Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents at Great American Ball Park.
Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in five of the Reds’ last six games at Great American Ball Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Riley Greene has recorded at least one Double in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Matt Vierling has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Reds.
Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.