Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 6/12/25 MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

6 months ago

Baltimore Orioles (27-39) vs Detroit Tigers (44-25)

Game Info: Thursday, June 12, 2025 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles +152 / Detroit Tigers -186 — Over/Under: 8.5

The Detroit Tigers and the Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Tarik Skubal for the start here, and Skubal is 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. In his career, Skubal is 3-1 with a 1.52 ERA and 32 strikeouts against the Orioles. The Orioles will start Dean Kremer for the start here, and Kremer is 5-6 with a 4.98 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kremer is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA and 9 strikeouts against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 10-1 loss at the hands of the Orioles on Wednesday to slip to 44-25 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Tigers Split Last 8 Games

Spencer Torkelson has 56 hits along with a .237 batting average, including a team-high 16 home runs, 15 doubles, and 47 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 13 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 72 hits with 15 doubles, 13 home runs, and 44 RBIs, but also has a team-high 87 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 6 home runs and 28 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 10 doubles, 7 triples, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs of his own along with 56 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 52 hits and 10 doubles as well as 6 home runs and 31 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

The Tigers have won each of their last 11 games as favorites following a road loss.
The Orioles have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Orioles.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL East opponents.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Orioles.
Spencer Torkelson has scored a run in each of the Tigers’ last six games against the Orioles.
Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
Wenceel Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
Colt Keith has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
Tarik Skubal ranks 4th in the league for total Strikeouts (105) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to build on their win over the Tigers from Wednesday to improve to 27-39 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will square off against the Angels in a weekend series at Camden Yards.

Orioles Split Their Last 6 Games

Cedric Mullins has 44 hits so far this season, as well as 11 doubles, 10 home runs, and 32 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and a .233 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 50 hits with 9 doubles, 7 homers, and 19 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 61 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 8 homers, and 27 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers, and 15 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 67 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 61 hits with 8 doubles and 9 home runs with 26 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Orioles have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Tigers have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 Thursday games as home underdogs.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances.
Adley Rutschman has scored a run in each of the Orioles’ last five games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five Thursday appearances.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight games against the Tigers.
Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
Dean Kremer has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Tigers’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Orioles’ last six games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.