Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 9/20/24

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 20th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Tigers’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Orioles’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
• Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Baltimore
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Baltimore

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 80-73 this year and they have won four games in a row. Detroit is coming off of a series sweep against Kansas City, where they won all three games on the road. Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Orioles, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Detroit is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are tied for third in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Tigers’ offense has scored 649 runs with a .235 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .262 with 24 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 85-68 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Baltimore is coming off of a series loss against San Francisco, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Tigers, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Baltimore is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Orioles’ offense has scored 735 runs with a .248 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .282 with 37 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is TBD. It sounds like it could be Hurter or Montero. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 14-8 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 182.1 innings pitched this year. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Orioles

• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 road games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Tigers’ last nine games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last five games against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three home games against AL Central opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Orioles’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Jorge Mateo has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against AL Central opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 Friday appearances.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against AL Central opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last four home games against AL Central opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Javier Baez has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Orioles.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Matt Vierling has scored a run in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game looking for their fifth win in a row and they continue to be one of the hottest teams in baseball. The Tigers are 41-37 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 43-35 at home. Baltimore was able to avoid being swept with a walk-off homer on Thursday, but they have not played well over the last few series. The Orioles will have Corbin Burnes on the mound, who has been very good recently. Detroit hasn’t officially named their starting pitcher yet, but their pitching staff and bullpen have been fantastic down the stretch. I know Burnes has been solid for Baltimore, but Detroit just took two out of three from the Orioles last weekend and they are hot. Take the Tigers here.