Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 07/30/2025 Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Detroit Tigers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Ryne Nelson for the start here and Nelson is 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 1-1 with a 7.45 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Tigers. Chris Paddack will get the nod for Detroit here and Paddack is 3-9 with a 4.95 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Arizona, Paddack is 0-3 with a 5.73 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to rebound from a 12-2 loss at the hands of the Tigers on Tuesday to slip to 51-57 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for an interleague series against the Athletics.

Diamondbacks Lose 4 Straight & 7 Of Their Last 8

Corbin Carroll has 88 hits with 21 home runs, 50 RBIs, 13 triples and 18 doubles this season. Eugenio Suarez has also added 36 home runs and 87 RBIs while Geraldo Perdomo has 72 RBIs. Suarez has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Diamondbacks with 115 strikeouts so far this season. Carroll also has 13 stolen bases and Perdomo has a team-high 15 stolen bases as well this season. Ketel Marte’s added 20 home runs and 41 RBIs as well on the year and Lourdes Gurriel has 94 hits with 20 doubles, 12 home runs and 48 RBIs.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Tigers have lost eight of their last 12 games as favorites.
• The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 games.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents following a loss.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit at least one home run in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryne Nelson has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games.
• Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• James McCann has recorded a Double in four of his five previous road appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
• Eugenio Suarez ranks 5th in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their win over Arizona last time out to sit at 62-47 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Tigers Win Three In A Row

Spencer Torkelson has 86 hits along with a .237 batting average including a team-high 23 home runs, 23 doubles and 62 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs while Riley Greene has 110 hits with 21 doubles, 25 home runs and 81 RBIs but also has a team-high 142 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 39 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 14 doubles, 8 triples, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs of his own along with 84 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 78 hits and 14 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 40 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
• The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Diamondbacks and Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances in day games.
• Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Diamondbacks.
• Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks in this one. I get the case to be made for the Tigers here after looking so dominant in the first two games of the series. However, I was left scratching my head when the Tigers went out and got Chris Paddack from Minnesota, as I felt there were better options out there as trade bait, as Paddack’s had issues for the better part of the season, and I think that the Diamondbacks continue those issues for him here. Ryne Nelson’s been a solid option for the Diamondbacks this season and I think Nelson helps salvage something for Arizona here. Give me Arizona here.