Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Detroit Tigers meet Monday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Eduardo Rodriguez here and Rodriguez is 3-6 with a 5.50 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Tigers, Rodriguez is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 31 strikeouts. Troy Melton will start here for the Tigers and is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Melton’s first career start against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to rebound from a 6-0 loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out to sit at 51-55 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a series against the Athletics.

Diamondbacks Drop 5 Of Their Last 6 Games

Corbin Carroll has 88 hits with 21 home runs, 50 RBIs, 13 triples and 18 doubles this season. Eugenio Suarez has also added 36 home runs and 87 RBIs while Geraldo Perdomo has 72 RBIs. Suarez has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Diamondbacks with 115 strikeouts so far this season. Carroll also has 13 stolen bases and Perdomo has a team-high 15 stolen bases as well this season. Ketel Marte’s added 20 home runs and 41 RBIs as well on the year and Lourdes Gurriel has 94 hits with 20 doubles, 12 home runs and 48 RBIs.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won five of the Tigers’ last six games.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last four games at Comerica Park.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against former teams.
• Eugenio Suarez has recorded a Double in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances in night games.
• Eugenio Suarez ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 10-4 win over the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to improve to 61-46 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series with the Philadelphia Phillies.

Tigers Snap Six-Game Losing Skid

Spencer Torkelson has 86 hits along with a .237 batting average including a team-high 23 home runs, 23 doubles and 62 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs while Riley Greene has 110 hits with 21 doubles, 25 home runs and 81 RBIs but also has a team-high 142 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 39 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 14 doubles, 8 triples, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs of his own along with 84 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 78 hits and 14 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 40 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last six home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. I get the case to be made for Arizona, but it keeps looking more and more like the Diamondbacks will be selling a lot of pieces at the deadline and I just have little faith in this team going forward. We’ve also seen Eduardo Rodriguez struggle far more often than not over the course of the season so far. On the other side, the Tigers are a team I’ve had a hard time backing as of late, but we’re back in must-win territory for this team going forward, and maybe a win to avoid the sweep against the Blue Jays on Sunday was what the doctor ordered. I think Detroit draws first blood in this series, so give me the Tigers in this one.