Chicago (55-39) vs New York (53-41)
July 12, 2025 at 01:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 12th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 55-39 this year after they lost game one by a score of 11-0 on Friday night. Chicago fell behind in the third inning and they never got their offense going in the blowout loss. The Cubs recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Berti, who went 1-3 in the game. Chicago started Flexen, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Wicks allowed six earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. Chicago has lost three of their last four games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 503 runs with a .256 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 25 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 25 home runs and 70 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 9-3 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched this year.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 53-41 this season after they won game one by a score of 11-0. New York jumped out to an early lead and they controlled most of the game for the shutout win. The Yankees recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Bellinger, who went 3-5 with three home runs and six RBIs in the win. New York started Rodon, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Effross closed out the win.
Prior to this series, the Yankees swept the Mariners in three games, but lost two out of three against the Mets before that. New York has won five games in a row and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 498 runs with a .258 batting average and a .339 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 34 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 16 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 11-2 with a 2.27 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 119.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Yankees will beat the Cubs
The Yankees have won eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
The Cubs have lost four of their last five road games.
The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.
The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
Why the Cubs will beat the Yankees
The Cubs have won 12 of their last 13 day games following a road loss.
The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a win.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Yankees’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Cubs’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six Saturday games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Yankees’ last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances.
Max Fried has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in two of the Cubs’ last three day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction
New York was able to blowout Chicago in game one on Friday night and they have won five games in a row. The Yankees are 30-17 at home this year, while the Cubs are 25-23 on the road. Chicago has ran into some recent struggles, which has brought Milwaukee within one game in the Central. The Cubs are starting Boyd, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. The Yankees are going with Fried, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four, but has been very good for most of this season. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game and I like the under with these two pitchers.