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Cubs vs Phillies Prediction 6/10/25 MLB Picks

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Philadelphia Phillies (38-28) vs Chicago Cubs (40-26)

June 10, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -115 / Chicago Cubs -105 — Over/Under: 9.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 10th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 40-26 this season after they lost game one by a score of 4-3 on Monday night. Chicago led 1-0 early in the game and 3-2 in the 11th, but they couldn’t hang on and ended up with the loss. The Cubs recorded just five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Crow-Armstrong, Tucker, and Happ, who all had one RBI in the loss. Chicago started Boyd, who allowed eight hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Palencia was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Chicago has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 366 runs with a .257 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led Chicago with 17 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki has added 16 home runs and 55 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 4-2 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-28 this year after they won the first game in this series by a score of 4-3 in extra innings. Philadelphia blew a late 2-1 lead, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the 11th inning to escape with the win. The Phillies recorded 16 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Realmuto, who went 2-5 with two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Wheeler, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Hernandez picked up the win in extras. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three games against the Pirates and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Philadelphia has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 301 runs with a .253 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 20 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Mick Abel, who is 1-0 with a 0.79 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Cubs 

  • The Phillies have won 20 of their last 21 home games following an extra innings win.
  • The Cubs have lost five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Cubs’ last five games.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Cubs’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Cubs’ last seven games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against the Cubs.
  • Bryce Harper has hit at least one home run in three of his last four Tuesday appearances against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in five of the Phillies’ last six games against the Cubs.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last nine Tuesday games.
  • Bryson Stott has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two road games against NL East opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Tuesday appearances.
  • Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last six Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded an RBI in three of the Cubs’ last four night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last 10 Tuesday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to bounce back with a nice win in game one of this series on Monday night, but they have really struggled over the last two weeks. The Phillies are 20-12 at home this year, while the Cubs are 20-15 on the road. Chicago has lost three of their last four games, and the offense has not been very good in those three losses. The Cubs are starting Rea, who has allowed six earned runs in two of his last three starts. The Phillies are going with Abel, who has allowed one earned run over 11.1 innings in two starts. Take the Phillies to get another win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML

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