Cubs vs Orioles Prediction 7/8/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 8th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 51-40 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-2 on Tuesday night. Chicago had their lead cut to 4-2 in the seventh inning, but they added one more in the eighth to seal the win. The Cubs recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bregman, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Boyd allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Thornton picked up the save. Prior to this series, Chicago lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win all three against the Padres before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 460 runs with a .244 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 6-5 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 42-50 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-5 last night. Baltimore scored two runs in the seventh inning, but that was the only offense they could find in the loss. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Rutschman, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Baz allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Nunez allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Reds, but did lose two out of three against the White Sox before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 418 runs with a .237 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 19 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last five Wednesday night games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won five of the Cubs’ last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Cubs and Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the last six games between the Cubs and Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Cubs’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven Wednesday games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Cubs’ last six games as underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Dean Kremer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Jeremiah Jackson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Michael Conforto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Colin Rea has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction

Chicago comes into this matchup on a two game winning streak and they have scored 11 runs in those two wins. The Cubs are 24-21 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 24-24 at home. Baltimore has dropped two in a row and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Orioles are starting Kremer, who has allowed 1, 3, and 2 earned runs in his three starts, while Rea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Take the Orioles at home here, as I don’t trust Rea at all.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML