| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 40-37 | 34-43 |
| Spread | -1.5 156 | +1.5 -190 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -114 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 23rd at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 40-37 this year after they split two games with the Blue Jays by scores of 16-2 and 6-8. In game two, Chicago led 5-0 in the sixth inning and they were cruising to the win, but the bullpen fell apart for the tough loss. The Cubs recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Shaw, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Rea allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Webb allowed three earned runs for the loss. Prior to that series, Chicago won two out of three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Giants.
This season, Chicago has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 366 runs with a .244 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Michael Busch has led the Cubs with eight home runs and 42 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 16 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Edward Cabrera, who is 4-4 with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 67.1 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 34-43 this year after they lost two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 6-4, 3-15, and 2-6. In game three, New York cut the deficit to 6-2 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Benge, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Peterson allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Warren allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that.
This season, New York has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 311 runs with a .232 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 17 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added eight home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 0-5 with a 9.00 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last five home games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six Tuesday games.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against the Cubs following a road loss.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Citi Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cubs’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Mets’ last four games as favorites against the Cubs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven night games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Cubs’ last nine night games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as favorites against the Cubs.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 road appearances.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T7th in the league in Steals (18) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (311).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (297).
- The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
- The Cubs rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (602).
Cubs vs Mets Prediction
New York is coming off of another series loss over the weekend and they have allowed 25 runs in their last three games. The Mets are 18-18 at home this year, while the Cubs are 17-20 on the road. Chicago has split their last four games and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Cubs are starting Cabrera, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Senga has allowed 3+ earned runs in three straight outings. Take the over here.