Chicago (81-63) vs Atlanta (65-79)
September 9, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -110 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 9th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 81-63 this year after they lost on Monday night by a score of 4-1. Chicago cut the deficit to 3-1 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Cubs recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Shaw, who went 0-2 with one RBI in the loss. Chicago started Imanaga, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Civale finished the game in relief.
Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. Chicago has lost four of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 704 runs with a .248 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 27 home runs and 90 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 28 home runs and 85 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Cade Horton, who is 9-4 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 65-79 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-1 on Monday night. Atlanta only managed to score once in the final seven innings, but they got great pitching for the low scoring win. The Braves recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Olson, Albies, Baldwin, and Acuna Jr, who all had one RBI in the win. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings for the win, while Iglesias got the save.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Mariners and two out of three against the Cubs. Atlanta has won three of their last five games and they are fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 630 runs with a .243 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 23 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 5-12 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 101.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cubs will beat the Braves
The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Cubs have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Cubs have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Cubs have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
The Cubs have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the last five games between the Cubs and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Cubs’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against NL opponents.
Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Tucker has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances.
Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Braves.
Cubs vs Braves Prediction
Chicago picked up yet another loss on Monday night to open up this series and they have scored exactly one run in three of their last five games. The Cubs are 37-35 on the road this year, while the Braves are 35-35 at home. Atlanta has had super inconsistent pitching and they are starting Strider, who has allowed 3, 1, 7, 8, and 5 earned runs in his last five starts. Chicago is going with Horton, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. I am worried about the Chicago offense, but Horton has been very good for most of the season. Take the Cubs here.