Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 21, 2026; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; San Diego Padres right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. (23) leads off of first base against the Atlanta Braves during the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
Team Records
42-65
53-53
Spread
+1.5 -126
-1.5 104
Moneyline
+177
-217
Total
Over 8 (-116)
Under 8 (-103)
Where
Petco Park, San Diego, California
When
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Time
09:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Colorado Rockies will send out Michael Lorenzen for the start here and Lorenzen is 3-9 with a 6.53 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Michael King will start for San Diego and is 6-7 with a 3.24 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season.
Colorado Rockies Recap
The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to rebound from an 11-2 loss at the hands of Milwaukee last time out to sit at 42-65 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head home for a series against the Kansas City Royals.
Rockies Lose Back-To-Back Games
TJ Rumfield has 109 hits with 27 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 53 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 66 hits with 17 doubles, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 95 hits with 16 doubles, 31 home runs and 60 RBIs. Troy Johnston has 86 hits with 24 doubles, 3 home runs and 41 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 83 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 44 RBIs.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 53-53 this season. After this series, the Padres will take on the San Francisco Giants in a series at home.
Padres Win 3 In A Row
Jackson Merrill has 92 hits with 17 doubles, 15 home runs and 46 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 37 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 114 hits with 20 doubles and 47 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 76 hits with 9 doubles, 9 home runs and 38 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 80 hits with 18 doubles, 23 home runs and 63 RBIs as well on the year.
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: July 28, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King Record this season: 6-7 ERA: 3.24
Home Record: 4-4
Last 5 against Rockies: 1-2
Why the San Diego Padres will win
The Padres have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Rockies.
The Rockies have lost each of their last six games at Petco Park.
The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.
The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Petco Park.
The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last five Tuesday road games against National League opponents.
The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 games at Petco Park.
The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen Record this season: 3-9 ERA: 6.53
Road Record: 2-5
Last 5 against Padres: 0-1
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
The Padres have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
The underdogs have won each of the Padres’ last three games.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last 14 games.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites following a win.
The Padres have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
Total Runs Facts
Six of the Padres’ last seven games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Rockies’ last six games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last eight Tuesday games against National League opponents.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last four games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
Luis Campusano has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Rockies.
Michael King has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Steals (25) this season.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in five of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
Michael Lorenzen has recorded five strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
Jake McCarthy has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
Hunter Goodman ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Padres rank 29th in the league for hits this season (808).
The Padres rank 29th in the league for hits this season (808).
The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.55).
The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.55).
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the Padres in this one. I just have zero faith in the Rockies with Michael Lorenzen as a starting pitcher and that’s not going to change all of a sudden. The Rockies can hit, but Michael King has been San Diego’s best arm for much of the season and I think he leads them to a win as the Rockies offense struggles here. Give me San Diego.
