Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 3/31/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, March 31, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies (1-2, 1-2 Away) experienced a combination of bad managerial decisions and bad luck in the season opener against the Tampa Bay Rays, losing 3-2 after having a 2-0 lead. The Rockies did respond with a 2-1 victory in Game 2, but their poor bullpen cost them in the following game as the Rays secured a 6-4 win. One positive is that Colorado, who was the worst road team in the NL last season, already booked one away win.

This year, the Rockies average 2.67 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .220/.255/.300 slash line. The Rockies’ pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA (11th) and 1.48 WHIP (26th). Mickey Moniak is the best offensive player for the Rockies, with a .500 batting average, one home run, and two RBI last season.

German Marquez will take the mound for the Rockies on Monday. The 30-year-old right-hander pitched for just 4.0 innings last season before suffering an elbow injury and had Tommy John surgery for the second time in three years.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (2-1, 0-0 Home) were excellent offensively in the opening two games of the series against the divisional rivals Washington Nationals as they scored 18 runs. Philly failed to sweep the series as the Nats bounced back and secured a 5-1 victory in Game 3. The Phillies had the second-best record in the MLB last season (95-67) but were stopped by the New York Mets in the NLDS.

This season, the Phillies average 6.33 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .275/.383/.468 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 4.67 ERA (22nd) and 1.22 WHIP (16th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .385 batting average, two home runs, and four RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Christopher Sanchez, who went 11-9 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 181.2 innings pitched in 2024.

Why the Phillies will beat the Rockies

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight home games following a loss.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last eight road games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Phillies’ last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rockies’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rockies’ last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. Philadelphia was victorious in each of the last six H2Hs at home, and although I am excited to see Marques back on the mound, I don’t think he will have a great time on Monday. Marquez allowed a .368 BA, four homers, and 15 RBI in 95 at-bats against the Phillies’ batters in his career. Sanchez, on the other hand, went 1-0 in two starts against the Rockies last year, allowing a 1.59 ERA in 11.1 innings. I am backing the Phillies to win and cover a -1.5 run line.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Phillies -1.5