New York Mets (34-22) vs Colorado Rockies (9-47)
Game Info: Friday, May 30, 2025 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -360 / Colorado Rockies +285 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (9-47, 3-25 Away) broke some negative records this season. After setting the record for the worst record in the opening 50 games of the season, the Rockies are now absolute record holders for the most consecutive series lost with 22! The Rockies opened their three-series road trip by getting swept by the Chicago Cubs. In Game 3, a 2-1 defeat on Wednesday, which was Colorado’s fifth in a row, Tanner Gordon took the loss after allowing two runs on six hits with one strikeout and no walks in 4.2 innings.
This year, the Rockies average 3.16 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .218/.283/.354 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.55 ERA (30th) and 1.60 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .276 batting average, seven home runs, and 31 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Kyle Freeland, who is 0-7 in 11 starts this season, with a 5.86 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 55.1 innings.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (34-22, 21-7 Home) responded to series losses against the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox with wins over the Los Angeles Angels and Chicago White Sox. The Mets were on a four-game winning streak and hoped to sweep the White Sox at home, but the visitors celebrated a 9-4 victory on Wednesday. Mark Vientos led the offense with a three-run homer, while Griffin Canning took the loss after allowing five runs (three earned) on four hits with three strikeouts and four walks in 3.0 innings.
This season, the Mets average 4.34 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .245/.329/.404 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.87 ERA (1st) and 1.26 WHIP (14th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .290 batting average, 11 home runs, and 43 RBI this season.
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Friday. The 29-year-old left-hander has a 3-2 record in ten starts this year with a 2.79 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 58.0 innings.
Why the Mets will cover
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 night games against the Mets at Citi Field following a loss.
- The Mets have won eight of their last nine night games at Citi Field following a home loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Citi Field against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Rockies’ last nine road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Rockies and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rockies’ last 12 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six home games against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (186).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (12).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (175).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.218).
Rockies vs Mets Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. We have a duel between two southpaws on the mound, and even though Freeland’s number improved a bit in May, he will face a tough task in New York. Freeland does have a strong record against the Mets in his career, but he did allow 3+ runs in five of his last six starts. David Peterson, a Denver-native lefty, surrendered more than two runs only once this season and is registering a 2.45 ERA in May. He should do fine against the worst offense in baseball, which has a .201 BA in 537 at-bats against southpaws. Back the Mets to wins and cover the run line.