Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 7/12/24

In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 12th at Citi Field in New York. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Rockies recent form and recent player performance 
• The Mets recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Colorado
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent betting trends in games played between Colorado and New York
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Colorado and New York

Rockies are Struggling on the Road

The Colorado Rockies are 33-61 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Colorado is coming off of a series loss against Cincinnati, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Royals, split four games with the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the White Sox. Colorado is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.58 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .290 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 386 runs with a .244 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .272 with 14 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has allowed at least five runs in five straight games. 

Mets are Heating Back Up 

The New York Mets are 47-45 this year and they have won five of their last six games. New York is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won all three games by scores of 7-5, 6-2, and 7-0. Prior to this series, the Mets split four games with the Pirates, split four games with the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Astros. New York is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are third in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 446 runs with a .249 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 16 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has scored at least six runs in three straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Tanner Gordon, who is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 6.1 innings pitched this year. Gordon allowed five earned runs and eight hits over 6.1 innings against the Royals in his first start. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season. Manaea has allowed one total earned run in his last three starts (18.0 IP). 

Why the Mets will beat the Rockies

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Mets at Citi Field following a loss.
• The Mets have won each of their last seven night games following a home win.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last five games.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Mets following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rockies’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games as home favorites against NL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mets’ last eight home games against NL West opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Pete Alonso has scored a run in each of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Ryan McMahon has scored at least one run in each of the Rockies’ last four games as underdogs against the Mets.
• Charlie Blackmon has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Rockies as underdogs against the Mets.
• Ryan McMahon has hit a home run in each of the Rockies’ last three games as underdogs against the Mets.
• Kris Bryant has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances with the Rockies as road underdogs.
• Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one total base in each of his eight previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Prediction 

Colorado comes into this series after allowing a ton of runs against the Reds in their last series and they are just 13-34 on the road this year. The Rockies have the worst pitching staff in the MLB and they really can’t be trusted. New York is 24-25 at home this season, but they have won five of their last six games and they have played much better over the last two months. New York is starting Manaea, who has been outstanding in his last three outings. Colorado is going with Gordon, who was lit up by the Royals in his first outing. I refuse to back the Rockies on the road and I think New York will score plenty of runs in this game. My Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets prediction is for the Mets to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Pick: Mets -1.5