| MATCHUP | Colorado Rockies | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Spread | +1.5 -136 | -1.5 113 |
| Moneyline | +159 | -193 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (102) | Under 7.5 (-122) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Saturday, March 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 1-0 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL East. They are coming off a 2-1 home win over the Rockies and their previous three games were a 4-3 home win over the Mets, a 7-4 away loss to the Cardinals, and a 3-2 home win over the Nationals in spring training.
The Marlins have a .250 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .344 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 0.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Connor Norby is the team’s best hitter with a .667 batting average, while Owen Caissie leads the team in RBI with one.
Eury Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and last season he had a 7-6 record, 4.25 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
Colorado Rockies Preview
The Colorado Rockies have a 0-1 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL West. They are coming off a 2-1 away defeat by the Marlins and their previous three games were a 11-8 home loss to the Tigers, a 6-5 home win over the Tigers, and a 6-5 home win over the Athletics in spring training.
The Rockies have a .219 batting average this season, .265 OBP and .219 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 2.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Hunter Goodman is the team’s best hitter with a .500 batting average, while Jordan Beck leads the team in RBI with one.
Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and last season he had a 7-11 record, 4.64 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: March 28, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Rockies: 1-1
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 13 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have won each of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 13 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Saturday games.
- The Rockies have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last 10 road games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen Record this season: – ERA: –
- Road Record: –
- Last 5 against Marlins: 3-0
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The road team has won seven of the last eight games between the Rockies and Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rockies’ last three games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Rockies and Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Jake McCarthy has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
- Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins ranked 27th in the league for home runs last season (154).
- The Marlins ranked T4th in the league for triples last season (29).
- The Rockies ranked 30th in the league for on-base percentage last season (.293).
- The Rockies ranked 30th in the league for walks last season (395).
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins have won their last four meetings against the Rockies but the Rockies are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Miami. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Rockies vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -190 home favorites. Marlins got the narrow victory yesterday but with Eury Perez on the mound, who struggled last season, I am not laying the -190 juice for them to win. Perez had a shutout start against the Rockies last season, while Lorenzen also has a very good history against Miami bats, so I expect another low-scoring affair today in Miami. Take the under 7.5 runs in this one.