| MATCHUP | Colorado Rockies | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 28-79 | 53-54 |
| Where | Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio | |
| When | Tuesday, July 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (28-78, 14-40 Away) defeated the Minnesota Twins and St. Louis Cardinals, but lost a series to the Baltimore Orioles. Colorado opened the current series against the Guardians with an 8-6 victory on Monday, thanks to four runs in the 9th inning. Tyler Freeman led the offense against his former team with three RBI, while Bradley Blalock pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and no walks. Tyler Kinley was credited with the win.
This season, the Rockies average 3.61 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .233/.293/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.61 ERA (30th) and 1.58 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .282 batting average, 19 home runs, and 59 RBI this season.
Tanner Gordon will take the mound for the Rockies on Tuesday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 2-2 record in four starts this year with a 3.13 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 23.0 innings.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians (52-54, 25-26 Home) beat the Athletics and Baltimore Orioles to start the second half, but then lost a series to the Kansas City Royals. Cleveland had a 5-3 lead in Game 1 against Colorado, but allowed five runs in the final two innings and fell short 8-6. Bo Naylor led the offense with three RBI, while Slade Cecconi pitched for 7.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on six hits with three strikeouts and two walks. Cade Smith took the loss.
This year, the Guardians average 3.87 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .225/.298/.373 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Guardians’ staff has a 3.93 ERA (16th) and 1.32 WHIP (22nd). Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with a .295 batting average, 21 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Guardians is Logan Allen, who is 6-9 in 19 starts this season, with a 4.16 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 101.2 innings.
Why the Rockies will cover
- The Guardians have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have won four of the Rockies’ last five games at Progressive Field.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a road win.
- The Rockies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against the Guardians.
- The Rockies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Progressive Field against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rockies’ last eight road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Guardians’ last seven home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rockies’ last five night games at Progressive Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.373).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.299).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.61).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (697).
Rockies vs Guardians Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. The Rockies won three of the last four meetings, and I am backing them to put up a fight and stay close in this one. I am not sure whether they’ll get a W, but I believe they will cover a +1.5 run line. Tanner Gordon has been solid this year; in his lone start in July, he shut the Cardinals out in 6.0 innings. He allowed only four runs in two games against the Cubs and Yankees, two of the top five offenses in the MLB. Logan Allen, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in eight of his previous nine starts, including seven in his last two. I like Gordon more in this matchup, but I am aware of Colorado’s weak bullpen, so instead of backing the Rockies to win, I am backing them to cover.