Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 18, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies first baseman TJ Rumfield (7) celebrates a home run in the 6th inning at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Chet Strange-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
Team Records
46-73
64-56
Spread
+1.5 -136
-1.5 113
Moneyline
+158
-170
Total
Over 9.5 (-105)
Under 9.5 (-114)
Where
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
When
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Time
09:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Tuesday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Colorado Rockies will send out Tomoyuki Sugano for the start here and Sugano is 11-5 with a 4.51 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Mitch Bratt will start for Arizona and is 1-1 with a 3.90 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season.
Colorado Rockies Recap
The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to rebound from their 9-0 loss at the hands of Arizona on Monday to sit at 46-73 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a set against the San Francisco Giants.
Rockies Lose 6 Of Last 7 Games
TJ Rumfield has 122 hits with 24 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 59 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 75 hits with 19 doubles, 9 home runs and 37 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 103 hits with 16 doubles, 34 home runs and 69 RBIs. Troy Johnston has 91 hits with 25 doubles, 3 home runs and 43 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 95 hits with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 48 RBIs.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rockies from Monday to sit at 64-56 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Diamondbacks Win Back-To-Back Games
Corbin Carroll has 105 hits including 24 doubles, 13 triples, 16 home runs and 55 RBIs. Ketel Marte has 113 hits with 23 doubles, 3 triples, 20 home runs and 65 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 101 hits, with 15 doubles, 6 triples, 9 home runs and 42 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 94 hits with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 58 RBIs and Gabriel Moreno has 98 hits with 22 doubles, 8 home runs and 52 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 91 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 7 home runs and 55 RBIs.
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: August 11, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Mitch Bratt Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.90
Home Record: 1-0
Last 5 against Rockies: –
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
The Rockies have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last nine home games against the Rockies.
The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games at Chase Field.
The Rockies have lost the first inning in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano Record this season: 11-5 ERA: 4.51
Road Record: 4-2
Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 1-0
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
The Diamondbacks have lost six of their last seven night games at Chase Field following a win.
The Rockies have won three of their last four Tuesday games as road underdogs.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Rockies following a home win.
The Rockies have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Rockies’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Tomoyuki Sugano’s last eight appearances as a starter.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six Tuesday games against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as home favorites.
Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL West opponents.
Gabriel Moreno ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.304) this season.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded three or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
Mickey Moniak has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Hunter Goodman ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (34) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (30).
The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (814).
The Rockies rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (217).
The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.51).
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
I’m backing the Rockies here. I get the case to be made for Arizona, but I’m still not 100% sold on Mitch Bratt, and I think that the Rockies can bounce back here. The Rockies normally back up Tomoyuki Sugano, and I’m looking for the Rockies to get the W at a solid plus price in this one. Give me the Rockies.
