| MATCHUP | Cleveland Guardians | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spread | +1.5 -149 | -1.5 123 |
| Moneyline | +159 | -193 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-122) | Under 6.5 (102) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Thursday, March 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners finished last season with a 90-72 record and were placed 1st in the AL West. They had a 51-30 home record and 39-42 away record and were 96-72-6 in over/under.
Last season the Mariners had a .244 batting average, .320 OBP and .420 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff had a 3.87 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Julio Rodríguez led the Mariners with 174 hits. Dominic Canzone was the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Cal Raleigh led the team in RBI, with 125 and added a team-high 47 home runs.
Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and last season he had a 6-6 record, 3.44 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians finished last season with an 88-74 record and were placed 1st in the AL Central. They had a 45-36 home record and 43-38 away record and were 72-86-7 in over/under.
Last season the Guardians had a .226 batting average, .296 OBP and .373 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff had a 3.70 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Steven Kwan led the Guardians with 170 hits. José Ramírez was the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. José Ramírez also led the team in RBI, with 85 and added a team-high 30 home runs.
Tanner Bibee (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and last season he had a 12-11 record, 4.24 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: March 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-2
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won eight of their last nine home openers.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last three games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home openers.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against AL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee Record this season: – ERA: –
- Road Record: –
- Last 5 against Mariners: 1-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Guardians have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road night games.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 12 Thursday night games at T-Mobile Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six Thursday night games against AL West opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last five night games.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Mariners as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as favorites against AL opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in each of his three previous road appearances against the Mariners.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners were 4-2 in their six meetings against the Guardians last season, sweeping their only series in Seattle by 3-0 wins. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Guardians vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -170 home favorites. Both teams were very good last season and Seattle made it all the way to the ALCS Finals where they lost to Toronto. Cleveland had the third-best bullpen in the league last season but they were also the second-worst hitting team against right-handed pitching. Bibee has also been significantly weaker on the road for the Guardians with a 5.17 road ERA, while Gilbert has been excellent last season and elite at home with a 2.24 home ERA. Take the Mariners to win their season opener in front of their home crowd.